Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.007994 0.009002 0.010106 0.011408 0.012905 0.014577 0.016593
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.006238 0.007560 0.009134 0.011160 0.013717 0.016860 0.021052
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.005465 0.006952 0.008826 0.011386 0.014830 0.019361 0.025863
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004832 0.006386 0.008433 0.011367 0.015527 0.021312 0.030142
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004191 0.005711 0.007786 0.010878 0.015454 0.022122 0.032844
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003807 0.005335 0.007491 0.010819 0.015949 0.023760 0.036963
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003648 0.005254 0.007594 0.011337 0.017345 0.026910 0.043924
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003281 0.004826 0.007135 0.010935 0.017233 0.027626 0.046896
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002993 0.004491 0.006783 0.010655 0.017271 0.028567 0.050367
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002808 0.004296 0.006627 0.010672 0.017797 0.030391 0.055716
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002734 0.004271 0.006737 0.011137 0.019146 0.033841 0.064741
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002557 0.004061 0.006523 0.011020 0.019426 0.035335 0.070064
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002418 0.003910 0.006405 0.011076 0.020070 0.037684 0.077770
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002244 0.003685 0.006144 0.010849 0.020151 0.038938 0.083351
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002156 0.003604 0.006124 0.011067 0.021127 0.042160 0.094060
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002042 0.003465 0.005989 0.011048 0.021618 0.044413 0.102901
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001876 0.003221 0.005641 0.010575 0.021098 0.044357 0.105931
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001779 0.003097 0.005507 0.010518 0.021464 0.046364 0.114752
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001760 0.003113 0.005640 0.011020 0.023120 0.051641 0.133648
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001636 0.002925 0.005361 0.010631 0.022709 0.051844 0.138183
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001536 0.002774 0.005147 0.010359 0.022542 0.052633 0.144642
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001474 0.002695 0.005068 0.010376 0.023058 0.055255 0.157334
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001460 0.002709 0.005180 0.010826 0.024688 0.061080 0.181771